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Draft

Final 2017 Draft Rankings

A look around at the top rankers.

Draft day is finally here, which means all of the rankers we know and love so much have finalized a final top-60 or top-100, and we can look at those rankings to once again recalibrate heading into the big night. The reason to rely on the rankings of experts, at least as a baseline, is that they’re, well, experts. The people whose work I’ll cite below focus on college ball and the draft as their primary gig, and while I personally love to watch the NCAA and spend hours once the playoffs end trying to catch up with video, they’ve all spent far more time, tracked the prospects for years in some cases, and will have the benefit of more in-person viewings, meetings, and impressions from within the NBA. There’s nothing wrong with knowing what you don’t know and letting the expertise of intelligent people guide your own research. (Or so I tell myself.)

The big takeaway from tracking these rankings over the last few weeks is that there remains a ton of volatility and a wide range of opinions on most prospects. Considering how wide open the draft is, that stands to make whomever the Raptors wind up with at No. 23 a win in the books of some and a loss in the books of others – there’s a good chance the pick looks like a steal or a reach, and of course, we won’t know the reality for years. That doesn’t mean we don’t dive in like hell to try to figure it out the moment the pick is announced.

By the way, if anyone was wondering about the history of the No. 23 pick: According to DraftExpress, the No. 23 pick has become an All-Star twice, a starter nine times, a backup 21 times, an end-of-the-bench guy 13 times, and never reached the NBA 11 times in the last 56 drafts. The No. 23 pick has averaged 1.62 Estimated Wins Added, averaging 5.7 points, 2.7 rebounds, and 1.1 assists with a 9.2 player efficiency rating. This means little as a group-wide snapshot, but I thought I’d pass it along to help set a baseline expectation for player quality.

To help give an idea of who the Raptors looked at, here’s a refresher on the 52 names they brought in to BioSteel Centre. It’s just a small part of the process and doesn’t at all mean this is the list they’re drawing from (a few players had to drop out, guys projected in the lottery are tough to get in, logistical issues come up, and so on). Here you go:

Player Date Note Average High Low
OG Anunoby N/A Interview only 13.4 11 18
Ike Anigbogu 7-Jun Interview only 23.1 15 36
Semi Ojeleye 22-May 28.6 19 38
Tyler Lydon 17-May 32.3 22 50
T.J. Leaf 18-May 34.2 22 44
Caleb Swanigan 30-May 35.5 27 48
Johnathan Motley 23-May 45.9 36 47
Tyler Dorsey 22-May 47.1 39 61
Dillon Brooks 22-May 47.4 38 50
Kyle Kuzma 7-Jun 48.1 41 47
Devin Robinson 6-Jun 50.0 37 52
Wesley Iwundu 6-Jun 50.1 29 53
Sindarius Thornwell 13-Jun 51.3 31 62
P.J. Dozier 5-Jun 54.8 46 52
Dwayne Bacon 13-Jun 60.6 45 74
Damyean Dotson 30-May 60.8 54 68
Kobi Simmons 22-May 66.7 51 76
Nigel Hayes 7-Jun 72.3 60 83
Jonathan Jeanne 7-Jun Medical condition 76.1 42 105
Isaiah Briscoe 23-May 79.9 67 98
Kennedy Meeks 5-Jun 85.6 65 105
Isaac Humphries 13-Jun 87.2 81 105
Antonius Cleveland 30-May 95.2 85 105
T.J. Williams 17-May 97.9 89 105
Troy Caupain 7-Jun 98.2 105 105
Austin Nichols 30-May 98.9 93 105
Chance Comanche 13-Jun 101.2 88 105
Xavier Rathan-Mayes 23-May 102.6 94 105
Dylan Ennis 17-May #N/A #N/A #N/A
Jeremy Hollowell 17-May #N/A #N/A #N/A
Rashawn Thomas 17-May #N/A #N/A #N/A
Rawle Alkins 17-May Withdraw #N/A #N/A #N/A
Tyler Cavanaugh 18-May #N/A #N/A #N/A
Jonathan Williams 22-May Withdraw #N/A #N/A #N/A
Markis McDuffie 22-May Withdraw #N/A #N/A #N/A
Justin Jackson (Mld) 23-May Withdraw #N/A #N/A #N/A
MiKyle McIntosh 23-May Withdraw #N/A #N/A #N/A
Sebastian Saiz 23-May #N/A #N/A #N/A
Nate Britt 30-May #N/A #N/A #N/A
Scoochie Smith 30-May #N/A #N/A #N/A
Matt Jones 5-Jun #N/A #N/A #N/A
Jordan Matthews 5-Jun #N/A #N/A #N/A
Matt Thomas 5-Jun #N/A #N/A #N/A
Justin Tuoyo 5-Jun #N/A #N/A #N/A
J.J. Frazier 6-Jun #N/A #N/A #N/A
Quinton Hooker 6-Jun #N/A #N/A #N/A
Hassan Martin 6-Jun #N/A #N/A #N/A
Paul Watson 6-Jun #N/A #N/A #N/A
Kasey Hill 7-Jun #N/A #N/A #N/A
Luke Fischer 7-Jun #N/A #N/A #N/A
Seth Allen 13-Jun #N/A #N/A #N/A
Naz Mitrou-Long 13-Jun #N/A #N/A #N/A

As a look back, here are our workout notes from each session. (As a side-note, no player came in for a second workout this year, but OG Anunoby did come in for an interview without media availability at one point.)

  • May 17: Dylan Ennis, T.J. Williams, Rawle Alkins, Jeremy Hollowell, Rashawn Thomas, Tyler Lydon
  • May 18: T.J. Leaf, Tyler Cavanaugh
  • May 22: Tyler Dorsey, Kobi Simmons, Dillon Brooks, Semi Ojeleye, Markis McDuffie, Jonathan Williams
  • May 23: Isaiah Briscoe, Xavier Rathan-Mayes, Justin Jackson, MiKyle McIntosh, Sebastian Saiz, Jonathan Motley
  • May 30Nate Britt, Scoochie Smith, Damyean Dotson, Antonius Cleveland, Caleb Swanigan, Austin Nichols
  • June 5Matt Jones, Jordan Matthews, Matt Thomas, P.J. Dozier, Justin Tuoyo, Kennedy Meeks
  • June 6Wesley Iwundu, Devin Robinson, J.J. Frazier, Quinton Hooker, Hassan Martin, Paul Watson
  • June 7Kasey Hill, Troy Caupain, Nigel Hayes, Kyle Kuzma, Ike Anigbogu, Jonathan Jeanne, Luke Fischer
  • June 13: Sindarius Thornwell, Seth Allen, Naz Mitrou-Long, Dwayne Bacon, Chance Comanche, Isaac Humphries

And here’s an updated look at the rankings from Chad Ford of ESPN, DraftExpress, The Ringer’s Kevin O’Connor, and Joshua Riddell, plus Kevin Pelton‘s statistical rankings. If a player was not ranked by Ford, DX, or Riddell, they received a 105 (O’Connor’s rankings only go to 60). Pelton’s rankings were weighted less in the average, and some players did not have sufficient statistical data for him to give a ranking to. Each of these rankings were updated at some point this week except DX, who last updated theirs last week.

Rank Player Ford Express O’Connor Riddell Vecenie Pelton Average High Low
1 Markelle Fultz 1 1 1 1 1 4 1.3 1 1
2 Lonzo Ball 2 2 3 2 4 1 2.5 2 4
3 Jonathan Isaac 5 9 5 3 5 2 5.1 3 9
4 Jayson Tatum 4 4 2 4 2 28 5.5 2 4
5 Dennis Smith 7 7 7 5 6 6 6.4 5 7
6 Josh Jackson 3 3 6 6 3 34 6.9 3 6
7 De’Aaron Fox 6 5 4 7 7 38 8.7 4 7
8 Malik Monk 8 6 8 8 8 32 9.8 6 8
9 Lauri Markkanen 10 8 13 9 10 13 10.3 8 13
10 Frank Ntilikina 11 10 9 10 9 23 11.0 9 11
11 Zach Collins 9 17 14 12 11 5 11.9 9 17
12 Donovan Mitchell 14 11 10 11 13 25 13.0 10 14
13 OG Anunoby 13 14 11 14 18 7 13.4 11 18
14 John Collins 16 12 16 18 14 12 14.9 12 18
15 Luke Kennard 15 13 12 24 12 31 16.6 12 24
16 Jarrett Allen 20 18 18 16 21 35 20.1 16 21
17 Ike Anigbogu 17 15 23 36 25 22 23.1 15 36
18 Terrance Ferguson 23 24 25 27 20 23.8 20 27
19 Justin Patton 19 28 19 29 26 21 23.9 19 29
20 Jawun Evans 33 29 26 13 17 37 24.8 13 33
21 Harry Giles 12 26 32 26 23 42 25.5 12 32
22 Anzejs Pasecniks 24 21 15 33 33 33 25.9 15 33
23 D.J. Wilson 28 23 21 21 27 47 26.1 21 28
24 Bam Adebayo 18 34 22 23 22 50 26.2 18 34
25 Justin Jackson 26 16 31 20 15 78 26.7 15 31
26 Derrick White 36 25 27 22 16 43 26.8 16 36
27 Semi Ojeleye 38 20 20 25 19 71 28.6 19 38
28 Jordan Bell 31 35 24 15 24 69 29.7 15 35
29 Josh Hart 30 51 35 19 32 8 31.1 19 51
30 Tyler Lydon 29 22 50 39 29 17 32.3 22 50
31 Isaiah Hartenstein 32 19 43 38 30 32.4 19 43
32 Tony Bradley 21 40 30 42 43 9 32.8 21 43
33 Frank Jackson 27 33 34 32 40 39 33.7 27 40
34 T.J. Leaf 22 36 42 44 31 26 34.2 22 44
35 Caleb Swanigan 37 27 33 48 28 45 35.5 27 48
36 Jonah Bolden 25 44 17 34 51 68 37.3 17 51
37 Monte Morris 39 61 58 17 34 3 38.3 17 61
38 Mathias Lessort 48 32 40 35 37 40 38.5 32 48
39 Ivan Rabb 34 30 36 54 42 48 40.0 30 54
40 Sterling Brown 44 45 28 28 56 58 41.8 28 56
41 Alec Peters 35 31 59 52 49 16 42.5 31 59
42 Cameron Oliver 46 55 38 30 48 41 43.2 30 55
43 Thomas Bryant 49 37 45 57 41 18 43.3 37 57
44 Johnathan Motley 40 39 41 47 36 99 45.9 36 47
45 Frank Mason 41 41 51 49 35 83 47.0 35 51
46 Tyler Dorsey 42 47 44 61 39 52 47.1 39 61
47 Dillon Brooks 47 38 40 50 77 47.4 38 50
48 Kyle Kuzma 43 43 47 41 46 89 48.1 41 47
49 Devin Robinson 45 49 37 45 52 94 50.0 37 52
50 Wesley Iwundu 53 53 29 50 38 105 50.1 29 53
51 Sindarius Thornwell 62 57 48 31 44 80 51.3 31 62
52 Aleksandar Vezenkov 60 65 55 59 11 54.3 55 65
53 Edmond Sumner 55 54 57 43 54 73 54.5 43 57
54 P.J. Dozier 52 52 52 46 47 105 54.8 46 52
55 Davon Reed 57 62 39 72 62 53 57.9 39 72
56 L.J. Peak 86 46 49 37 53 105 58.8 37 86
57 Alpha Kaba 61 66 62 65 30 59.8 61 66
58 Dwayne Bacon 50 74 53 59 45 105 60.6 45 74
59 Damyean Dotson 54 59 56 67 68 61 60.8 54 68
60 Jaron Blossomgame 64 50 60 65 57 100 62.9 50 65
61 Derrick Walton Jr. 59 73 77 70 14 63.6 59 77
62 Andrew White 69 68 54 68 60 85 65.7 54 69
63 V.J. Beachem 66 67 55 76 67 64 66.0 55 76
64 Vlatko Cancar 105 56 51 58 56 66.2 51 105
65 Kobi Simmons 51 76 58 74 82 66.7 51 76
66 Nigel Williams-Goss 76 58 64 64 88 68.0 58 76
67 Alberto Abalde 105 48 66 63 55 68.8 48 105
68 Jeremy Morgan 68 105 78 55 10 69.1 55 105
69 Luke Kornet 71 69 87 78 27 70.8 69 87
70 Nigel Hayes 73 80 60 83 59 72.3 60 83
71 Kadeem Allen 74 64 69 75 105 74.3 64 75
72 Eric Mika 63 82 81 84 57 75.2 63 84
73 Jonathan Jeanne 83 42 105 105 15 76.1 42 105
74 James Blackmon Jr. 84 83 86 76 29 76.3 76 86
75 Chris Boucher 56 86 93 97 24 76.4 56 97
76 Jake Wiley 105 63 71 69 87 78.1 63 105
77 Melo Trimble 77 84 83 81 54 78.2 77 84
78 Ognjen Jaramaz 105 75 63 66 95 79.2 63 105
79 Isaiah Briscoe 67 71 98 71 105 79.9 67 98
80 George de Paula 105 72 56 94 81.8 56 105
81 Peter Jok 75 87 82 72 105 81.9 72 87
82 Isaiah Hicks 58 60 95 105 105 82.3 58 105
83 Marko Guduric 105 105 70 61 75 84.1 61 105
84 Rolands Smits 105 77 74 79 92 84.7 74 105
85 Malcolm Hill 85 105 84 82 51 84.8 82 105
86 Amile Jefferson 70 105 79 77 105 85.2 70 105
87 Antonio Blakeney 82 96 90 73 86 85.3 73 96
88 Kennedy Meeks 65 92 105 105 36 85.6 65 105
89 London Perrantes 105 105 53 93 63 86.1 53 105
90 Deonte Burton 105 78 73 80 105 86.3 73 105
91 Ben Moore 99 105 46 88 98 79 86.5 46 105
92 Jamel Artis 78 91 85 85 105 87.0 78 91
93 Isaac Humphries 81 90 105 92 49 87.2 81 105
94 Marcus Keene 80 105 89 99 60 89.6 80 105
95 Wesley Alves Da Silva 88 94 75 105 90.5 75 105
96 Malcolm Hill 105 79 105 105 51 93.2 79 105
97 Simon Birgander 94 105 80 95 93.5 80 105
98 Paris Bass 72 105 105 105 70 93.8 72 105
99 Kris Jenkins 79 105 105 105 62 94.4 79 105
100 Charles Cooke 105 105 91 88 72 94.4 88 105
101 Antonius Cleveland 96 85 105 90 105 95.2 85 105
102 Justin Robinson 105 105 105 105 19 95.4 105 105
103 Derek Willis 105 105 105 105 20 95.6 105 105
104 Amida Brimah 105 70 105 105 95 96.1 70 105
105 Youssoupha Fall 91 105 100 105 66 96.4 91 105
106 Michael Young 105 81 105 105 83 97.2 81 105
107 T.J. Williams 105 98 96 89 105 97.9 89 105
108 Moses Kingsley 90 105 105 105 72 98.0 90 105
109 Troy Caupain 105 105 105 105 44 98.2 105 105
110 Kenan Sipahi 89 105 105 105 76 98.2 89 105
111 Antonio Campbell 105 105 105 105 46 98.4 105 105
112 Ismael Bako 105 99 105 86 98.8 86 105
113 Austin Nichols 93 105 105 105 74 98.9 93 105
114 Zak Irvin 87 105 105 105 96 100.0 87 105
115 JaJuan Johnson 105 93 105 105 85 100.1 93 105
116 Przemek Karnowski 100 97 105 100 105 101.0 97 105
117 Eric McCree 105 105 105 87 105 101.0 87 105
118 Tidjan Keita 105 89 105 105 101.0 89 105
119 Chance Comanche 105 88 105 105 105 101.2 88 105
120 Jeremy Senglin 105 105 105 91 105 101.9 91 105
121 Jabari Bird 92 105 105 105 105 102.1 92 105
122 Ilimane Diop 105 105 97 105 97 102.3 97 105
123 Xavier Rathan-Mayes 105 105 94 105 105 102.6 94 105
124 Sidy Dijtte 105 95 105 105 105 102.8 95 105
125 Robert Hubbs 95 105 105 105 105 102.8 95 105
126 Bronson Koenig 105 105 105 96 105 103.0 96 105
127 James Birsen 97 105 105 105 105 103.2 97 105
128 Nedim Buza 98 105 105 105 103.3 98 105
129 Michael Fusek 105 105 99 105 103.5 99 105
130 Trevor Thompson 105 100 105 105 105 103.9 100 105

A live thread will go up shortly, and we’ll track any major rumors, mocks, or changes in perception there throughout the day (these rankings won’t be updated).

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