franchise outlook discussion

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Axel wrote:

I really like Landry and think he would be a good fit as a short-term solution.

Even if we do move Bargnani, what are we going to get in return? Surely no team is going to give up the rugged interior player who can score on the blocks for Bargnani. Any deal for Bargnani wont likely solve our PF problem, which means Amir + what-ever stop gap solution we can find. A cheap option like soon to be waived Hakim Warrick might be realistic but not exactly inspiring. Until we have a first round pick again, we might be stuck with Amir/Bargnani.

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Don't know. I agree with you about the PF aspect...it's probably 99% sure that Bargs won't return a PF (interior scoring or not) of good value in a trade. Hence why I would've been ok with "garbage" trades where instead of trying to land a player who's a problem for another team that will hopefully work out (Boozer, Gordon, etc), just get some assorted pieces....For example, going into the summer, things change a bit maybe even with offers that were already out there. Maybe Bryan didn't care for Philly's Hawes package because they wouldn't throw enough extra in....well Philly will have capspace this summer, so maybe instead of taking back things BC doesn't want, Philly could just offer Hawes + cash (becomes a tpe) + 1st rd pick in this year's draft (if Philly doesn't plan on keeping their pick). I would take that....I have no clue how realistic it is and I'm just talking out of my ass...but I'd take it.

*not even sure if Philly would have the space...they should have enough expiring deals with Bynum needing a new contract, but logistics of the offseason with capholds and crap like that always confuse me

All of you guys are forgetting that DeMar doesn't get paid 9.5 mil until next season. This season he only gets paid around 3.5 mil which is UNDER-paid for someone who puts up 17.5pts, 4rbds, 2.5asts, and 1 stl.

We all know DeMar is the type of player that improves every single year, and now with Rudy along side DeMar can hopefully go workout/improve with Rudy and help Toronto have one of the best 2-3 punches in the league.

Remember, next season after his improvement in the off season is when you should be asking yourself if he's overpaid or not, not when he's only getting paid 3.5 mil (this season).

I underestimated the impact that Gay's arrival would have on this team in the short term. Beyond the fact that he's the best offensive player the team has had since Bosh, Gay seems to have infused the team with a boost of confidence. I thought that there would be an adjustment period between DD, Gay and some other players but the chemistry has been solid right off the bat. They are still a flawed team but the game's have taken on a different feel in the short time that Gay has been there. The game winners and clutch shots have made those who shouted for a "closer" so loudly look pretty smart.

The Raptors and Gay may be experiencing something of a honeymoon effect too though. Gay feels liberated from leaving Memphis and the Raptors organization are beyond thrilled with their new shiny toy. Lowry is also feeling like a brand new man. Right now, everything is great. Things may not stay this way when the team is navigating through adversity over the course of a long season however. Gay's also come as advertised with regards to his volume shooting and low efficiency offense. DeRozan is a very similar player. Traditionally, this has not been a successful model for building a winning team, despite their short term success. All in all though, over the course of a full season I'd predict them to finish somewhere between 7-9 in the East.

The Raptors real problems are when you start asking how they get over that next hump. They are pushed to the luxury tax threshold, so improving through free agency is not an option. They've traded away this summer's lottery pick, and next season's selection would likely be between 12 and 19. The chances of finding a guy that can take you to the next level with that one single pick are very, very slim.

So the Raptors only real way to keep improving is via trade. The players that the Raptors would most like to move - Fields, Kleiza and Bargnani - are coincidentally enough, the ones with very low value. You can pretty much rule Kleiza out with the latest report that his career is in jeopardy with knee issues. If the small chance that someone wants him for salary relief next summer becomes a reality, they sure aren't giving up a rotation player to get him. Fields could salvage some of his value, but not before he spends the summer re-learning how to shoot and starting off next season with a bang. Even if he does turn it around, he's not going to return you a real impact player. He'd likely have more value on the Raptors roster in that case.

Colangelo has maintained for more than a month now that there is a market for Bargnani and we heard various rumours leading up to the deadline (Bulls, Sixers, Warriors, Bobcats). How many of them were based in truth however, we'll never know. The most telling piece of evidence is that Bargnani is still on the roster making $11 million plus and with a role that is shakier with each passing day. Needless to say I still have serious doubts on whether Colangelo is even willing to give up on Bargnani let alone getting a starting calibre player back in return for him.

I can't see how Bargnani/Fields is going to land Gasol this summer. Surely the Lakers will have better offers than that, especially with Gasol being an expiring deal. Plus there's a non 0% chance that he stays in Los Angeles next year, especially if Howard lands somewhere else.

DeRozan becomes the team's best trade piece assuming Lowry/Gay/AJ/JV/Ross aren't being shopped. I'm not sure what the market for DD would be. The consensus when he signed his extension was that it was too much for him, so the question is how far he's gone this season in justifying it. There have been stretches where he's been worth every cent this season and stretches where it has looked like a mistake. If the Raptors want to add one more significant piece to this roster - and everyone seems to agree that it should be a starting PF - then it will likely come at the expense of DeRozan. Of course, that creates a void at the SG spot, and you're now relying on T-Ross do chew up 30-35 minutes a night when he's just not ready for it.

This is pretty much the problem I envisioned when they made the Gay deal. It seems great in a vacuum but it makes it so difficult to put together a complete team when you pay those B level guys their max money. You always seem to be "one real good piece" away, but acquiring that piece usually ends up in another hole opening up in the process. You simply don't have enough assets to fill all the holes, and you end up on that dreaded treadmill.

I don't mean to be such a ball of negativity. I warmed to Gay immediately and genuinely enjoy watching the games over the past three weeks more than I have in years. Part of me also feels selfish for not being satisfied with "just the playoffs" since any postseason play at this point would be awesome. However I can't shake the feeling that they get their butts kicked in the first round the next fews seasons and before you know it, you're back at the rebuilding crossroads without a whole lot to show from the last one.

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Puffer wrote:

I am looking to see what happens with four players. Demar, Fields, Ross and JV.

Demar has improved every year he's been on the team. I see no reason he won't improve again for next season. I believe he studies his own tape, so he is quite conscious of his weak points. Next year, improved ball handling, increased strength and better court vision will lead to improved assists and fewer turnovers.

Fields will be working with the team coaches and trainers on his shot. I think it is killing him now that he can't shoot well. He plays so hard when he is out there that I suspect we will see a significant improvement next year. It's the only part of his game that needs to improve. This year he is shooting 44%, but he is pretty much only taking layups, so his scoring is way down.

Ross needs to stop being a rookie. He seems humble and good natured. I have no idea how hard he will work in the off-season, but if he puts in the time and spends time with the assistant coaches I expect improvement in his shot selection and accuracy next season. A subset of all of this is Casey needs an offensive minded Assistant who can come up with better use of players. I believe Ross would do better with better offensive schemes being run.

Jv, I don't have to say much. Get stronger. And send little private notes to the rest of the team. "When I am in the paint, waving my hands, you can pass to me and I can hit the shot." He is not being used well yet by Casey. See above reference to offensive minded assistant coach.

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My thoughts are very similar to this Post.

I expect DD to improve as he has always done each year.

I expect JV to come back stronger, wiser and thus better.

I hope Ross works hard on his game - as hard as ED and Demar did in the past offseason and become a LEGIT 6th man for us.

My main concern moving forward is Andrea Bargnani and how we plan to rid ourselves of him and his contract. Also, who if any useable piece could we get for him. Its obvious there's very little interest in his services and this may really be a HUGE factor in us having a chance to really compete in the near future.

I read an article from Kelly (Toronto Star) that sums up my thoughts with regards to Andrea - i'm quoting the last few sentences below.

"Amongst the many maddening things about a very decent young man is that you do not get any sense that he cares. New York or Sacramento? Chicago or Charlotte? You’d care. I’d care. He doesn’t care. He is an unmoored ship drifting through his NBA career, content to smash into a dock somewhere, before drifting for a little while longer.

If you knew him, you’d wish him luck. Odds are, you quite understandably wish your team more."


I dont think he understands that if we move him for the sake....he could very well be heading into a miserable situation. Regardless, BC has to move him this offseason. $10-11 million per year for a soft backup is too much for this team to swallow while trying to be compete.

click the link to read the full article below...

http://www.thestar.com/sports/basket...unt_kelly.html

I am willing to give bargnani a chance as a 3rd option, until a GOOD trade offer comes along, it is undeniable he is a good fit with the team, because he spaces the floor. It makes sense that he should try to improve other aspects of his game (rebounding, passing, DEFENSE) now that his role in the offense isn't as large. But I am not holding my breath. The success of this team hinges on the development of valanciunas, tross, and bargnani. A big problem with bargnani is he has the heart of a bitch, I have never seen him sustain a good level of intensity, over the duration of the entire game, his conditioning sucks.

Derozan I am not a big fan of, he will never be an elite defender, elite shooter, he is EASY to defend, because he can't shoot. And on top of that, he has poor shot selection. When we face teams with good wing defenders, he is exposed.

The current situation is exactly why if the rumours were true and Boozer/Nate were on the table for Bargnani/JL3, they should have pulled that trigger.

Boozer wasn't ideal but he was at least productive and fit 2 very sore areas of need: low post scoring and rebounding.

The Raptors are now stuck with not only an immovable contract in Bargnani but an unproductive one. I'd have much rather an immovable contract in Boozer who at least produces.

By taking on Boozer, the Raps immediately would have become much better and could compete for a second round appearance while JV and Ross develop.

What a sad state of affairs.

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akashsingh wrote:

I am willing to give bargnani a chance as a 3rd option, until a GOOD trade offer comes along, it is undeniable he is a good fit with the team, because he spaces the floor. It makes sense that he should try to improve other aspects of his game (rebounding, passing, DEFENSE) now that his role in the offense isn't as large. But I am not holding my breath. The success of this team hinges on the development of valanciunas, tross, and bargnani. A big problem with bargnani is he has the heart of a bitch, I have never seen him sustain a good level of intensity, over the duration of the entire game, his conditioning sucks.

Derozan I am not a big fan of, he will never be an elite defender, elite shooter, he is EASY to defend, because he can't shoot. And on top of that, he has poor shot selection. When we face teams with good wing defenders, he is exposed.

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Can't say I agree with your assessment of Demar. I think he has improved dramatically in these areas. In regards to Bargnani, I think they have to figure out how to use him. He is not made for run and gun, he needs a set offence. As the sixth man, he would do well if they would post him in the middle. For whatever reason, they don't. Make no mistake, the coach has said tiome and again that AB creates spacing by being on the perimeter...I just don't think this works!

I gotta' ask...I am on this site a fair bit (although I don't always sign in) and am wondering when I stop being a rookie (lol)?

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Axel wrote:

Even if we do move Bargnani, what are we going to get in return? Surely no team is going to give up the rugged interior player who can score on the blocks for Bargnani. Any deal for Bargnani wont likely solve our PF problem, which means Amir + what-ever stop gap solution we can find. A cheap option like soon to be waived Hakim Warrick might be realistic but not exactly inspiring. Until we have a first round pick again, we might be stuck with Amir/Bargnani.

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The fact that he(Bargnani) wasn't moved yesterday shows that his value is not good enough to net us something good. I believe the off-season is different. Unlike the time before the trade deadline where GM's concentrate on improving the teams chances of making the play-offs, they(GM's) look at wider range of needs in the off-season. My point is there are many things BC can and might do with Bargnani. Maybe address the back-up PG need. Maybe trade him as part of a package for a starter. Bargnani's present struggles are not an indication of his value overall. Even though not a great one, he has built a reputation for himself and GM's will go by that.

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akashsingh wrote:

I am willing to give bargnani a chance as a 3rd option, until a GOOD trade offer comes along, it is undeniable he is a good fit with the team, because he spaces the floor. It makes sense that he should try to improve other aspects of his game (rebounding, passing, DEFENSE) now that his role in the offense isn't as large. But I am not holding my breath. The success of this team hinges on the development of valanciunas, tross, and bargnani. A big problem with bargnani is he has the heart of a bitch, I have never seen him sustain a good level of intensity, over the duration of the entire game, his conditioning sucks.

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You can't really say that Bargnani is "undeniably" a good fit with this team and then go on to list 15 bad things about him. In theory he should help because he draws a big defender out of the lane and gives DD/Gay/Lowry room to drive. In reality he's a ball stopper and doesn't get hot enough offensively to justify having him on the court for long periods of times. Plus there's the issue of having $11 million tied up in a player that isn't consistent enough to get regular bench minutes. Enough chances for this guy.

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Matt52 wrote:

The current situation is exactly why if the rumours were true and Boozer/Nate were on the table for Bargnani/JL3, they should have pulled that trigger.

Boozer wasn't ideal but he was at least productive and fit 2 very sore areas of need: low post scoring and rebounding.

The Raptors are now stuck with not only an immovable contract in Bargnani but an unproductive one. I'd have much rather an immovable contract in Boozer who at least produces.

By taking on Boozer, the Raps immediately would have become much better and could compete for a second round appearance while JV and Ross develop.

What a sad state of affairs.

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I also thought that they should have taken the Boozer trade if it was actually on the table. It would have slapped another terrible contract on top of the pile but it wouldn't hinder the team's flexibility going forward since they didn't have any to begin with. The acquisition of Gay pretty much ended the "rebuild" phase, despite what BC tells you. Boozer's contract would have actually lined up well with the other team's long term deals. They could have two years trying to win a playoff series and then have a glut of cap space in 2015 (with hopefully a repaired reputation around the league that allows them to use it). They wouldn't have to give up DD either, eliminating the hole theory I said earlier. Lowry-DD-Gay-Boozer-JV is an NBA quality starting lineup.

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Halifax Raps Fan wrote:

Can't say I agree with your assessment of Demar. I think he has improved dramatically in these areas. In regards to Bargnani, I think they have to figure out how to use him. He is not made for run and gun, he needs a set offence. As the sixth man, he would do well if they would post him in the middle. For whatever reason, they don't. Make no mistake, the coach has said tiome and again that AB creates spacing by being on the perimeter...I just don't think this works!

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how many possessions out of 100 do we run n gun? we play half court the majority of the time.

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Matt52 wrote:

The current situation is exactly why if the rumours were true and Boozer/Nate were on the table for Bargnani/JL3, they should have pulled that trigger.

Boozer wasn't ideal but he was at least productive and fit 2 very sore areas of need: low post scoring and rebounding.

The Raptors are now stuck with not only an immovable contract in Bargnani but an unproductive one. I'd have much rather an immovable contract in Boozer who at least produces.

By taking on Boozer, the Raps immediately would have become much better and could compete for a second round appearance while JV and Ross develop.

What a sad state of affairs.

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I'm not going to pretend the Gay trade hasn't far exceeded my expectations, but it's also why I desperately wanted to trade Bargnani before adding pieces like that. This was the exact type of situation I was afraid of...where we'd be stuck hoping Bargnani miraculously (seriously, can we get a little divine intervention here?) plays better to increase his value rather than a) just swallowing a Boozer deal for the next couple of years, or b) swallowing your pride and just doing an addition by subtraction trade that turns Bargs into easier assets to manage. One is a bball trade, the other a finance/flexibility trade. There's no reason any smaller contract(s) taken back couldn't be useful in summer transactions. This team as constructed is going to depend A LOT on internal development, and a lot of that coming from JV to shore up the front (which is a given to me, I'm just not sure on his timeline).

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Matt52 wrote:

The current situation is exactly why if the rumours were true and Boozer/Nate were on the table for Bargnani/JL3, they should have pulled that trigger.

Boozer wasn't ideal but he was at least productive and fit 2 very sore areas of need: low post scoring and rebounding.

The Raptors are now stuck with not only an immovable contract in Bargnani but an unproductive one. I'd have much rather an immovable contract in Boozer who at least produces.

By taking on Boozer, the Raps immediately would have become much better and could compete for a second round appearance while JV and Ross develop.

What a sad state of affairs.

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+1

My thoughts exactly....at least you know what your going to get from Boozer every night. 16 ppg and 9-10 rpg. Bargnani gives you 16 ppg (he used to) and 4 rpg. You cant get better value than Boozer IMO.

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white men can't jump wrote:

I'm not going to pretend the Gay trade hasn't far exceeded my expectations, but it's also why I desperately wanted to trade Bargnani before adding pieces like that. This was the exact type of situation I was afraid of...where we'd be stuck hoping Bargnani miraculously (seriously, can we get a little divine intervention here?) plays better to increase his value rather than a) just swallowing a Boozer deal for the next couple of years, or b) swallowing your pride and just doing an addition by subtraction trade that turns Bargs into easier assets to manage. One is a bball trade, the other a finance/flexibility trade. There's no reason any smaller contract(s) taken back couldn't be useful in summer transactions. This team as constructed is going to depend A LOT on internal development, and a lot of that coming from JV to shore up the front (which is a given to me, I'm just not sure on his timeline).

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this is worrisome, player development is not a sure thing, but it also means there is still a chance.

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special1 wrote:

+1

My thoughts exactly....at least you know what your going to get from Boozer every night. 16 ppg and 9-10 rpg. Bargnani gives you 16 ppg (he used to) and 4 rpg. You cant get better value than Boozer IMO.

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Maybe they think the deal will be there again this summer and they want to get the pick obligation over with?

Not sure.

Talking out of my ass here.

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Matt52 wrote:

Maybe they think the deal will be there again this summer and they want to get the pick obligation over with?

Not sure.

Talking out of my ass here.

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I hope your right.....

However, I do know that Boozer >>> Bargnani. As someone posted earlier... Lowry, Demar Derozan, Rudy Gay, Boozer, Amir/JV would've been a pretty DARN good starting unit. Sigh

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Matt52 wrote:

Maybe they think the deal will be there again this summer and they want to get the pick obligation over with?

Not sure.

Talking out of my ass here.

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Sounds like BC's roster plan.

If the Boozer deal is there in the off-season, then I think you have to take it for the reasons mentioned above; but I wonder if Chicago wont have better options by then. Another year shaved off the deal, more picks and prospects in play, the Bulls might be able to do better than Bargnani, especially for teams that miss out on signing Millsap or Josh Smith.

Player development hasn't been the best in our history.

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Halifax Raps Fan wrote:

I gotta' ask...I am on this site a fair bit (although I don't always sign in) and am wondering when I stop being a rookie (lol)?

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LOL I feel your pain dude.... I've been on this site for a long time as well (mostly while at work so i didnt really have a chance to post anything). I've almost doubled your posts and i'm still a rookie lol