Search:

Type: Posts; User: DanH

Page 1 of 20 1 2 3 4

Search: Search took 0.22 seconds.

  1. Replies
    21
    Views
    387

    I'd considered hiding them but wanted it to be...

    I'd considered hiding them but wanted it to be clear where the initial total minutes came from (which obviously failed).
  2. Replies
    21
    Views
    387

    If you click through and read there is a better...

    If you click through and read there is a better explanation within, but here's a quick summary of the columns (note that they relate to the 8 steps listed above the chart). The first 7 columns (from...
  3. Replies
    21
    Views
    387

    I agree. They do have more depth now than they...

    I agree. They do have more depth now than they did then, but 60 seems way too high.
  4. Replies
    21
    Views
    387

    Those win totals do come in a little high, by the...

    Those win totals do come in a little high, by the way, an average of 43.5 wins per team (should be 41). So something has to give there, but whether that happens unilaterally, or one team is 75 wins...
  5. Replies
    21
    Views
    387

    Using last year's stats means Derrick Rose is...

    Using last year's stats means Derrick Rose is viewed as a terrible player. And that Noah is expected to play very little.

    Not that those are inaccurate assumptions, but they are what are...
  6. Replies
    21
    Views
    387

    OK, quick and dirty with possibly a few errors,...

    OK, quick and dirty with possibly a few errors, here is an unadjusted win prediction for every team in the league (ie, some minute assumptions will be very wrong, and I probably missed a player...
  7. Replies
    21
    Views
    387

    This approach takes a per minute WS and WORP...

    This approach takes a per minute WS and WORP number, then applies them to expected minutes played. So, for example, JV's WS and WORP numbers were higher this past year than the year prior, in terms...
  8. Replies
    20,219
    Views
    1,289,022

    Poll: Yep, that's the one IMO. Seemingly impossible to...

    Yep, that's the one IMO. Seemingly impossible to be able to reach back like that and finish such a bad oop pass.
  9. Replies
    21
    Views
    387

    Also, if you look at the article in full, you'll...

    Also, if you look at the article in full, you'll see I looked back at last year's projection using this new model to see how it would have worked in retrospect (again, just for the Raps). Never...
  10. Replies
    21
    Views
    387

    Yeah, completely different approach this year,...

    Yeah, completely different approach this year, probably simpler (using a direct translation from BPM to wins rather than point differentials) and cleaner, and using two different stats instead of one...
  11. Replies
    21
    Views
    387

    2016-17 Raptors Win Projection by the Numbers

    I usually try to avoid posting my own stuff on here, but it's the long dreaded off-season so I thought some content would be useful. I've put together a projection for next season based on WS and...
  12. Replies
    583
    Views
    19,473

    Biyombo all over again, except instead of having...

    Biyombo all over again, except instead of having to dump Ross to clear salary to sign him, we'd have to dump Ross, Patterson, CoJo and a bunch of young players. So, yeah, if he gets a big raise, it...
  13. Replies
    3,481
    Views
    80,135

    Sticky: 100% agree with both these points. See no reason...

    100% agree with both these points. See no reason why we would start the draft early. And I think the obvious time limit is 24 hours.
  14. Replies
    20,219
    Views
    1,289,022

    Poll: Yeah, that near dunk was crazy.

    Yeah, that near dunk was crazy.
  15. Replies
    5,491
    Views
    186,175

    The LIT-ARG warmup game got canceled because of...

    The LIT-ARG warmup game got canceled because of water leaking through the roof and flooding the court.
  16. Replies
    51
    Views
    1,284

    As for Sully being able to provide spacing Scola...

    As for Sully being able to provide spacing Scola didn't - Scola could hit threes but wouldn't take them. Sully takes them even when he can't hit them (especially prior to last season) - if the Raps...
  17. Replies
    51
    Views
    1,284

    Again, though, he exclusively shot from above the...

    Again, though, he exclusively shot from above the break the past few seasons. The Raptors' offensive system pushes a lot of PF 3 point shots into the corner (Scola took 50% of his threes from the...
  18. Replies
    71
    Views
    2,751

    Lowry had a 58% TS%. DeRozan had a 55% TS%. ...

    Lowry had a 58% TS%. DeRozan had a 55% TS%. Lowry was more efficient. Nonetheless, I agree that you don't want Lowry taking any more usage than he already does - frankly, less would be better. JV...
  19. Replies
    51
    Views
    1,284

    Offensive rebounding is great and I definitely...

    Offensive rebounding is great and I definitely expect he will get his chances there. But in terms of fit on the floor, he has to spend a lot of time on the outside to leverage the strengths of the...
  20. Replies
    51
    Views
    1,284

    That's cute. They thought the numbers from an...

    That's cute. They thought the numbers from an entire season lied because he got hot for a month (really, for the back half of November)? Ridiculous. Sully's splits last year, month by month 3PT%:...
  21. Replies
    583
    Views
    19,473

    Yes. Man alive. JV changed his diet last...

    Yes. Man alive.

    JV changed his diet last November, when he was 23 years and 6 months old. Sully in theory will be changing his diet now, when he is 24 years and 4 months old. About a year...
  22. Replies
    583
    Views
    19,473

    Now, to be fair, we are also comparing Sully...

    Now, to be fair, we are also comparing Sully making a lifestyle change this summer to JV making one last fall, so about a year younger.
  23. Replies
    51
    Views
    1,284

    I think Sully should be shooting threes (corner...

    I think Sully should be shooting threes (corner threes only). Or at least long two's. To stretch the floor. That's why he is here.

    Not sure why everyone is enamoured with his post play. He's...
  24. Replies
    583
    Views
    19,473

    Sure, but the point that was made was that Lowry...

    Sure, but the point that was made was that Lowry made his big lifestyle change at the age of 29, and Sully is only 24. I brought up that JV made a lifestyle change with obvious results last season...
  25. Replies
    51
    Views
    1,284

    Indeed. But no, Sully is not as bad as Scola,...

    Indeed.

    But no, Sully is not as bad as Scola, mobility-wise. Nowhere close. Plus, Scola with all his slowness played predominantly at PF. Sully get by all accounts will get a good chunk of his...
Results 1 to 25 of 500
Page 1 of 20 1 2 3 4