The team that I see being the most interested in Gay (other than Detroit) would be Washington. It would be his home town. They have a history of overpaying for talent and they want to make the playoffs.
Washington has their 2014 pick as well.. so a deal like Gay for Ariza + one of Beals or Porter and their 2014 pick (top 8 protected) is what I would be looking at.
I'm going to suggest Cleveland again as a natural destination for Rudy. Since they're committing to playing Bennett at power forward, SF is the position at which they're weakest - a platoon of Alonzo "Meh" Gee, Earl Clark and Sergei Karasev. They're also clearly transitioning into win-now, have a superstar PG who would work very well with Rudy, and a host of picks to trade.
Something along the lines of Rudy for Gee, Tristan Thompson and picks - Cleveland's 2014 first plus one of the 2015 picks they're owed (Memphis and Miami). I can certainly see that happening.
Beal-for-Rudy won't happen, period. Beal has too much upside for Washington to do something that silly, especially considering the weakness of shooting guard across the league.
Porter-for-Rudy is remotely possible, because, when you get right down to it, the hope for Otto Porter is that he basically turns out to be the next Rudy. The logic for Porter over Rudy is you get three-quarters of Rudy at a quarter of the cost for the next few years; the logic for Rudy over Porter is that you get Rudy right now rather than having Probably Is Rudy In A Few Years.
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