Toronto Raptors
Record: 31-25; Power Ranking: 17; Playoff Odds: 86.2%
With a four-game lead and an 18-8 mark in their past 26 games, you might think the Raptors are home free. Not so fast.
The Power Rankings see the Raptors as the weakest of the five teams, placing them 17th, and there are some good reasons for that. Toronto still has a negative scoring margin on the season despite standing six games above .500, and the Raptors' recent 10-3 stretch came with 10 of the games at home and against what was the league's easiest schedule in that stretch.
Now the schedule turns on Toronto in a big way. Toronto still has a West Coast trip to make, plus road dates against Cleveland and Oklahoma City; the home slate includes Cleveland, Atlanta, Utah, Denver, Oklahoma City and Boston. With Chris Bosh nursing an ankle injury, the timing couldn't be worse.
The Raptors do have 10 games left against non-contenders, and if they take care of business, they should slide in. On tiebreakers, the outlook is mixed: They win against Chicago, but lose to Milwaukee.