I've always said that winning a championship is an extremely long odds game. Regardless of what strategy you choose, odds are that it is not going to result in a championship. Choose any strategy, and for every team that rides it to a championship, there's usually a dozen or more that have tried the same strategy and failed. Which isn't to say that one shouldn't try. Just that arguing that one strategy is superior to another isn't about a high-percentage strategy vs. a low-percentage strategy, it's about two very low-percentage strategies. Tim's arguments (and dismissal of every other argument) ring of emotional attachment. Which is fine, it's sports, everyone gets too attached to teams, to particular players, or sometimes to strategies.
I'm not ecstatic about the current course of the team, because I think too much of it will come down to ability to retain a key free agent for a decent contract this offseason. And we've seen that script before here. But if they get by that key moment, then a long run as third/fourth place team in the east seems possible, with a window to move beyond that into contender status. Right now I'm good with the odds of that strategy. I don't think it's anywhere near as rosy as Hollinger's 8.9% odds of winning a championship this year, but it's better than most teams in the league, and better than the Raptors' odds have been in many years.