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Just some thoughts on how good/bad the Raps may be next season, assuming they go in with the roster as is + Dorsey. I can't fathom this being the roster on opening day, but consider this more a thought experiment, and it's basically the offense that I'm focusing on here.
First point.
When you add up the average points scored by all the players on our roster from last season (or, in Kleiza's case, the year before), you end up with a team that scores, on average, 88 points per game. Pretty terrible. But. Consider the continued development of Weems, Derozan and Johnson, as well as Barbosa's off year (hopefully). Also consider that no points have been allotted for Ed Davis, Soloman Alabi or Joey Dorsey.
Is it safe to assume we may see an increase of scoring for Weems and Johnson of about 4 points per game? What about an 6 extra per game for Derozan? If these sound about right, then we're up to 102. Getting better. What about Ed Davis? I'm gonna assume he'll get at least 4-6 a game. Now we're way above the league average in scoring at 106-108. Then add on top of those points any scored by Alabi or Dorsey, as well as any improvement from last season on behalf of Barbosa, and we're now scoring over 110/game.
Second point.
The average playing time, per position, actually equals less than 48 minutes/game, with 36/game at SG (Weems/Barbosa), 43/game at SF (Derozan/Kleiza), and 34/game at PF (Johnson/Davis - davis minutes mirroring johnson's). PG/C, between Jack, Calderon, Belli, Bargnani and whoever backs up Bargnani have their minutes covered. The point I'm making here is that the above scoring averages were calculated from less than a full game's worth of minutes, indicating we should either see a higher point total than stated, or that the improvement in scoring from Weems, Derozan and Johnson will come from simply them playing more minutes, therefore the 108-110 total should be about accurate
Basically what I'm saying is, based purely on numbers, the Raps as currently construed are actually an excellent offensive team. Defensively, we're the same at PG, weaker at SG, stronger at SF, stronger at PF, and the same at C.
What does everyone think? The raps will have trouble with the better teams, but could easily beat the bottom half of the league if they score at the above rate. Is it possible we could have roughly the same record as last year/almost make the playoffs with the roster as is?
First point.
When you add up the average points scored by all the players on our roster from last season (or, in Kleiza's case, the year before), you end up with a team that scores, on average, 88 points per game. Pretty terrible. But. Consider the continued development of Weems, Derozan and Johnson, as well as Barbosa's off year (hopefully). Also consider that no points have been allotted for Ed Davis, Soloman Alabi or Joey Dorsey.
Is it safe to assume we may see an increase of scoring for Weems and Johnson of about 4 points per game? What about an 6 extra per game for Derozan? If these sound about right, then we're up to 102. Getting better. What about Ed Davis? I'm gonna assume he'll get at least 4-6 a game. Now we're way above the league average in scoring at 106-108. Then add on top of those points any scored by Alabi or Dorsey, as well as any improvement from last season on behalf of Barbosa, and we're now scoring over 110/game.
Second point.
The average playing time, per position, actually equals less than 48 minutes/game, with 36/game at SG (Weems/Barbosa), 43/game at SF (Derozan/Kleiza), and 34/game at PF (Johnson/Davis - davis minutes mirroring johnson's). PG/C, between Jack, Calderon, Belli, Bargnani and whoever backs up Bargnani have their minutes covered. The point I'm making here is that the above scoring averages were calculated from less than a full game's worth of minutes, indicating we should either see a higher point total than stated, or that the improvement in scoring from Weems, Derozan and Johnson will come from simply them playing more minutes, therefore the 108-110 total should be about accurate
Basically what I'm saying is, based purely on numbers, the Raps as currently construed are actually an excellent offensive team. Defensively, we're the same at PG, weaker at SG, stronger at SF, stronger at PF, and the same at C.
What does everyone think? The raps will have trouble with the better teams, but could easily beat the bottom half of the league if they score at the above rate. Is it possible we could have roughly the same record as last year/almost make the playoffs with the roster as is?
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