Ill even get into the more advanced stats:
Last year TS%: 53% This year TS%: 49.6% = regression by 6.4% ([53-49.6]/53)
Last year Eff: 14.11 This year Eff: 11.41 = regression by 19%
Last year WS: 3.58 This year WS: 1.5 = regression by 58%
Last year PER: 14.47 This year PER: 12.11 = regression by 16%
Infact even when compared to his ROOKIE campaign he's got a lower WS, PER (only slightly), TRR, TS%, and Ast%.
He's regressed incredibly on his 10-23ft jump shot when compared to last year
He's regressed with his Ast:TO
He's regressed with his Steals
INFACT, the only few things he's actually improved or maintained would be his 3pt% (still not a very good %) and his ability to dish out assists (encouraging statistic! Although due to higher turnover rates STILL regresses with Ast:TO)
Now please enlighten me, how has he NOT become a worse player when compare to last year (and even arguably his rookie season)???
How is this not a "return to an original or less developed state"???
the lack of training camp and practice time these players are getting can't be understated.
here are three players who i would say have also not regressed even though their numbers are all off of last years numbers.
this year the league is generally not as good as last year. it is happening across the board.
I can tell you Demar hasn't reached his potential, and neither did he or will live up to the expectations this season, but I don't believe he's regressed as a player. He can still do everything that he's originally had, and has added more to his initially raw game.
Rookie season? Most "raw" player in the draft. Second year? Added a jump-shot and confidence, and BAM he was a good player. This year? Added the three point shot, and got bigger than he was last year (but not big enough). He has had some very good games, and has had very big impact in games as well. It's not like his ABILITIES to put up the stats has regressed, it's just his ability to be ABLE to put them up has been INCONSISTENT. Not regressed, he was inconsistent from the start of the season, then progressed. Post all-star break he's been much better in scoring the basketball and what not, so IMO, he just didn't reach the initial expectations he had in front of him, which is in my opinion, not a regressed season, but a non-lived up season.
He just didn't get to where he wanted to be. He's young and will go through ups & downs and his inconsistencies. It's just IMO, Matt said it best where you don't live up to expectations is different from regression.
I understand what you mean by his abilities have not regressed,it may just be his current play that has, and in that sense i completely agree. Ive always been the one to maintain hopes for demar, and I still believe he'll become a great player based on potential.
At the same time you cannot argue against the fact that his play on the court this year has been noticeably worse than previous years, and in that term he's regressed in the sense of his play rather than his abilities.
I love demar though, specifically because of his work ethic I believe he will improve in those aspects of his game that lack (we've seen him take significant steps in terms of capabilities since his rookie campaign). Handling and consistent shooting will come, Im not worried about him.
I still find it peculiar to see him and others (like Young) regressing in play when historically at this time of their careers (the cliche: the third year should tell you what kind of player he'll be) they should be improving or reaching their potential. Id like to know why he's regressed (in play) and if it is a league wide phenomena in this shortened season?
It would be interesting to see league-wide stats compared from this year to last! (league wide TS%, AST%, TRR, etc) I wonder if the players collectively are experiencing some sort of statistical regression. I heard Matt mention how scoring has been down from last season, perhaps thats a telling sign?
all i could find. cant get the two full seasons with all players mushed together averages though and i doubt either of us or anyone else is going through 1000 players haha
here is a better one. you can sort by whatever stat you want. i just scanned 3pt% and fg% and a large majority of the ones at the bottom are 2011-2012 teams.
Pretty cool to look at, though it only shows up to '06..
interesting is that back in the 60s, there was approximately DOUBLE the total rebounds per team per game than in '06!
Also scoring is way down then it used to be.
In the 80's FG% was at the highest, but at the same time 3ptFG% was way way below the average of todays game.
Wish I could compare this season with last, if anyone finds a similar statistics table thats been updated Id really appreciate it !
Thanks Miekenstien! Though I am not about to do the actual calculations it is very very clear that almost ALL the teams are experiencing lower FG% when compared to last year, and if you just scroll down in FG% descending order you'll notice how the top is heavy with 2010-2011 teams while the bottom is heavy with 2011-2012 teams!
Charlotte, Utah, New Jersey, and Milwaukee are the ONLY teams to have increased their FG%, everyone else has dropped!!
I'm not worried about him either, I really believe he will be the guy the Raptors count on down the road in the future, I just hope this isn't the year that shows ''him''.
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