I think that if Casey can keep the team as focused as he did this year, then we'll find away into the playoffs, although we'd have to have an outstanding season to get the 6-7 seed. I just keep thinking that Casey this year reminds me of how Adleman had the rockets playing for 2-3 years without t-mac or Yao, not a lot of talent, but able to be .500. The difference of course is that .500 in the East gets you in, whereas Adleman's teams were always on the outside (If I remember correctly)
I'm not going to say that this is a lock, because off season moves, by us and others, as mentioned above can really change how I would predict outcomes.
BUT right now I would put the raps chances of finishing 8th at a healthy 72.629666666666% chance of making the playoffs, plus or minus 3%.