Is Wilson the One?

It has recently been reported Wilson Chandler has added Toronto as a possible destination as a restricted free agent. He visited with the Raptors yesterday.

The question becomes obvious: how good is Wilson Chandler and is he a material upgrade from our current wings?


Source: basketball-reference.com (data for Raptors’ players are for this year only)

Chandler is a more effective scorer than the most of the Raptors’ current wings, a little worse rebounder and a bit more of a “black hole” (doesn’t pass as often).


Source: basketball-reference.com (data for Raptors’ players are for this year only)

The other metrics tell a similar story: he generally has posted a PER below 15 (the average NBA player) and has similar scores to both James Johnson and Linas Kleiza. His 2 year adjusted +/- suggests a positive contribution (2.01) as does his Regularized Adjusted +/- (1.5) while his WP48 of 0.801 suggests he’s a slightly below average player.

He would certainly be an upgrade over Rasual Bulter and Gary Forbes (the latter being much more of a “2″ and perhaps less comparable), but – as it always does – comes down to a matter of salary and contract length. The challenge is he is a restricted free agent for Denver, which means they can match any offer. Thus, the Raptors will have to be careful not to “reach to high” to prevent this.

Questions? Arsenalist introduced a forum thread dedicated to “Statophile Q&A”. If you prefer to send questions privately, you’re welcome to email me at tomliston [at] gmail [dot] com or find me on Twitter (@Liston).