Draft

Final 2018 Draft Rankings

Not that we know it’ll matter to the Raptors.

Draft day is finally here, which means all of the rankers we know and love so much have finalized a final top-60 or top-100, and we can look at those rankings to once again recalibrate heading into the big night. The reason to rely on the rankings of experts, at least as a baseline, is that they’re, well, experts. The people whose work I’ll cite below focus on college ball and the draft as their primary gig, and while I personally love to watch the NCAA and spend a lot of time once the playoffs end trying to catch up with video and reading and talking to people around the league, they’ve all spent far more time, tracked the prospects for years in some cases, and will have the benefit of more in-person viewings, meetings, and impressions from within the NBA. There’s nothing wrong with knowing what you don’t know and letting the expertise of intelligent people guide your own research. (Or so I tell myself.)

The big takeaway from tracking these rankings over the last few weeks is that there remains a ton of volatility and a wide range of opinions on most prospects. Considering how wide open the draft is – “flat” if you prefer, especially outside of the lottery – that stands to make things quite unpredictable. It seems likely that some will see several picks (or undrafted players) as really undervalued, as well as the opposite. For Toronto, without a pick, this presents a real opportunity either to buy in and land someone they like or to roll the dice that players they like slide undrafted altogether.

To help give an idea of who the Raptors looked at, here’s a refresher on the 21 names they brought in to BioSteel Centre who are still in the draft (two pulled out). It’s just a small part of the process and doesn’t at all mean this is the list they’re drawing from, especially given how difficult it was to get players in without a pick. Instead, the Raptors will rely on their season-long scouting, agency camps, their work at the combine, and so on. Still, the names they brought in might at least tip us to their thinking at least a little. Here’s the list, and where those players show up on different rankings, if at all (links to follow):

Prospect Workout Position School Age Ranked (of 14) High Low Mean
MARCUS LEE 1 PF California 24 1 60 60 60.0
KOSTAS ANTETOKOUNMPO 1 SF Dayton 21 6 31 90 62.3
THEO PINSON 1 PG/SG North Carolina 23 7 50 95 64.9
DAKOTA MATHIAS 1 SG Purdue 23 6 46 89 71.7
WENYEN GABRIEL 1 PF Kentucky 21 5 64 91 75.2
JARED TERRELL 1 G Rhode Island 23 2 66 87 76.5
MARCUS FOSTER 1 PG/SG Creighton 23 3 77 87 83.0
DARIUS THOMPSON 1 G Western Kentucky 23 1 90 90 90.0
DESI RODRIGUEZ 1 SF Seton Hall 23 2 88 97 92.5
ALAN HERNDON 1 F Wyoming 23 0 N/A N/A N/A
GIDDY POTTS 1 G Middle Tennessee 22 0 N/A N/A N/A
JOE CHEALEY 1 G Charleston 22 0 N/A N/A N/A
JAIRUS LYLES 1 PG UMBC 22 0 N/A N/A N/A
NANA FOULLAND 1 C Bucknell 22 0 N/A N/A N/A
JACOBI BOYKINS 1 G/F Louisiana Tech 23 0 N/A N/A N/A
CAMERON REYNOLDS 1 F Tulane 23 0 N/A N/A N/A
KASSIUS ROBERTSON 1 G Missouri 24 0 N/A N/A N/A
ANDREW ROWSEY 1 G Marquette 24 0 N/A N/A N/A
JUSTIN TILLMAN 1 F VCU 22 0 N/A N/A N/A
HAYDEN DALTON 1 F Wyoming 22 0 N/A N/A N/A
ZACH LOFTON 1 G New Mexico State 26 0 N/A N/A N/A

As a look back, here are our workout notes from each session. (As a side-note, no player came in for a second workout this year, at least not that was noted publicly.)

And here’s an updated look at the rankings from around the web. I amalgamated these from ESPN, The Ringer, The Stepien, Sports IllustratedThe Athletic, and multiple draft models. In all, I included 14 sources in coming up with a high, low, and mean ranking. These are measures of player quality, not mocks. There are 131 names that showed up on a qualitative ranking (and a bunch more I cut that only showed up on statistical models). Here you go:

Rank Prospect Workout Position School Age Ranked (of 14) High Low Mean
1 LUKA DONCIC PG Real Madrid 19 14 1 4 1.6
2 JAREN JACKSON JR. PF/C Michigan St 19 14 2 5 2.9
3 DEANDRE AYTON C Arizona 20 14 1 7 3.6
4 TRAE YOUNG PG Oklahoma 20 14 2 10 5.4
5 MARVIN BAGLEY III PF/C Duke 19 14 1 14 5.9
6 WENDELL CARTER JR. C Duke 19 14 1 19 7.1
7 MOHAMED BAMBA C Texas 20 14 3 12 8.0
8 MICHAEL PORTER JR. SF/PF Missouri 20 14 4 26 8.4
9 MIKAL BRIDGES SF Villanova 22 14 5 15 9.1
10 MILES BRIDGES SF/PF Michigan St 20 14 4 19 9.8
11 SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER PG/SG Kentucky 20 14 6 20 12.4
12 ZHAIRE SMITH SF Texas Tech 19 14 8 17 12.9
13 ROBERT WILLIAMS C Texas A&M 21 14 11 20 14.9
14 COLLIN SEXTON PG Alabama 19 14 8 25 15.6
15 KEVIN KNOX SF/PF Kentucky 19 14 7 25 16.4
16 MITCHELL ROBINSON C N/A 20 13 9 35 19.9
17 TROY BROWN SG Oregon 19 14 7 32 19.9
18 KEVIN HUERTER SG Maryland 20 14 11 39 19.9
19 DE’ANTHONY MELTON PG/SG USC 20 13 12 32 20.2
20 LONNIE WALKER SG Miami FL 19 14 13 46 21.0
21 DZANAN MUSA SF Cedevita 19 13 8 39 21.7
22 JACOB EVANS SG/SF Cincinnati 21 14 13 36 23.1
23 JOSH OKOGIE SG Georgia Tech 20 14 13 51 26.9
24 KEITA BATES-DIOP PF Ohio St 22 14 15 46 28.8
25 ELIE OKOBO PG Pau-Orthez 21 14 14 73 29.6
26 CHANDLER HUTCHISON SG/SF Boise St 22 14 16 60 30.9
27 DONTE DIVINCENZO PG Villanova 21 12 19 45 31.3
28 SHAKE MILTON PG/SG SMU 22 14 16 53 32.1
29 JALEN BRUNSON PG Villanova 22 14 22 47 32.7
30 LANDRY SHAMET PG Wichita St 21 14 18 51 33.6
31 GRAYSON ALLEN SG Duke 23 14 24 49 34.4
32 KHYRI THOMAS SG Creighton 22 14 24 53 34.9
33 JEVON CARTER PG West Virginia 23 14 17 55 35.1
34 BRUCE BROWN JR. SG Miami FL 22 14 21 65 36.1
35 MELVIN FRAZIER SF Tulane 22 13 18 52 36.9
36 AARON HOLIDAY PG UCLA 22 13 17 57 37.4
37 JEROME ROBINSON PG Boston College 21 13 17 58 37.5
38 KENRICH WILLIAMS PF TCU 24 13 20 63 38.8
39 JARRED VANDERBILT SF Kentucky 19 14 16 66 38.9
40 RAWLE ALKINS SG Arizona 21 14 20 57 39.1
41 MORITZ WAGNER C Michigan 21 13 18 58 39.5
42 GARY TRENT JR. SG Duke 19 13 18 63 40.0
43 ANFERNEE SIMONS SG Team Breakdown 19 11 28 56 40.3
44 KEVIN HERVEY SF Texas Arlington 22 13 23 51 41.9
45 TREVON DUVAL PG Duke 20 14 31 55 43.6
46 XAVIER COOKS G/F Winthrop 23 1 44 44 44.0
47 OMARI SPELLMAN PF Villanova 21 13 28 57 44.2
48 DEVONTE’ GRAHAM PG Kansas 23 13 29 54 45.6
49 GARY CLARK PF Cincinnati 24 13 26 61 45.6
50 RAYMOND SPALDING PF Louisville 21 11 24 61 47.0
51 ISAAC BONGA SF Frankfurt 19 11 27 60 47.3
52 RODIONS KURUCS SF/PF Barcelona 20 9 38 72 49.9
53 MALIK NEWMAN PG/SG Kansas 21 11 35 71 50.0
54 VINCE EDWARDS SF/PF Purdue 22 11 31 73 51.0
55 DEVON HALL SG Virginia 23 13 28 80 51.3
56 CHIMEZIE METU PF/C USC 21 13 29 84 53.2
57 JUSTIN JACKSON SF/PF Maryland 21 13 28 69 53.9
58 HAMIDOU DIALLO SG Kentucky 20 13 37 86 54.5
59 TONY CARR PG Penn St 21 11 37 70 55.2
60 BRANDON MCCOY C UNLV 20 8 17 92 55.5
61 ISSUF SANON PG/SG Olimpija Ljubljana 19 5 41 70 56.6
62 SVIATOSLAV MYKHAILIUK SG Kansas 21 9 37 94 57.1
63 BONZIE COLSON PF Notre Dame 22 10 33 79 57.4
64 ALIZE JOHNSON PF Missouri St 22 9 30 83 58.2
65 D.J. HOGG SF/PF Texas A&M 22 8 38 84 59.0
66 ALLONZO TRIER SG Arizona 22 10 39 85 59.2
67 KEENAN EVANS PG Texas Tech 22 10 33 75 59.7
68 TIM BOND G/F Eastern Michigan 23 2 57 63 60.0
69 MARCUS LEE 1 PF California 24 1 60 60 60.0
70 ARNOLDAS KULBOKA SF Capo D’Orlando 20 8 46 79 61.8
71 DESONTA BRADFORD G ETSU 22 1 62 62 62.0
72 KOSTAS ANTETOKOUNMPO 1 SF Dayton 21 6 31 90 62.3
73 JORDAN MCLAUGHLIN PG USC 22 1 64 64 64.0
74 THEO PINSON 1 PG/SG North Carolina 23 7 50 95 64.9
75 ALEKSA ILIC PF Buducnost 22 1 65 65 65.0
76 TRYGGVI HLINASON C Valencia 21 6 34 85 66.8
77 AARON EPPS C LSU 22 1 67 67 67.0
78 DARYL MACON G Arkansas 22 2 47 88 67.5
79 KEENAN SIMMONS SF SIU Edwardsville N/A 1 68 68 68.0
80 ETHAN LEE F Central Arkansas 23 1 69 69 69.0
81 GEORGE KING SF Colorado 24 6 60 91 69.7
82 YANTE MATEN PF Georgia 22 7 42 88 70.3
83 TYLER DAVIS C Texas A&M 21 3 51 81 70.3
84 KAISER GATES SF Xavier 22 2 44 97 70.5
85 AJDIN PENAVA PF Marshall 21 7 48 98 71.3
86 DONTE GRANTHAM SF Clemson 23 5 62 85 71.6
87 DAKOTA MATHIAS 1 SG Purdue 23 6 46 89 71.7
88 JAYLEN ADAMS PG St. Bonaventure 22 6 32 96 72.2
89 BRYANT CRAWFORD PG Wake Forest 21 6 47 87 72.7
90 JORDAN BARNETT SF Missouri 23 2 58 88 73.0
91 THOMAS WELSH C UCLA 22 4 48 91 73.3
92 WENYEN GABRIEL 1 PF Kentucky 21 5 64 91 75.2
93 MARCUS DERRICKSON SF Georgetown 22 5 67 85 75.4
94 ISAAC HAAS C Purdue 23 6 55 92 75.8
95 ELIJAH BRYANT G BYU 23 2 72 80 76.0
96 TYLER RAWSON F Utah 23 1 76 76 76.0
97 JARED TERRELL 1 G Rhode Island 23 2 66 87 76.5
98 DORAL MOORE C Wake Forest 21 5 65 86 76.6
99 JAYLEN BARFORD SG Arkansas 22 6 64 92 77.2
100 ZACH THOMAS F Bucknell 22 2 74 81 77.5
101 ELIJAH STEWART SG USC 23 3 68 84 78.3
102 TREVON BLUIETT SF Xavier 23 3 71 90 79.0
103 ALEKSANDAR LAZIC SF/PF Mega Bemax 22 4 50 94 79.8
104 DENG ADEL SF/PF Louisville 22 6 59 90 80.0
105 B.J. JOHNSON G/F La Salle 22 1 80 80 80.0
106 BILLY PRESTON PF Igokea 21 6 68 90 80.8
107 MALIK POPE SF San Diego St 22 4 67 98 81.0
108 JOHNATHAN WILLIAMS F Gonzaga 23 1 81 81 81.0
109 JEFF ROBERSON SF Vanderbilt 22 1 82 82 82.0
110 MARCUS FOSTER 1 PG/SG Creighton 23 3 77 87 83.0
111 KENDRICK NUNN G Oakland 22 2 74 92 83.0
112 JEFFREY CARROLL SF Oklahoma St 24 3 73 96 83.7
113 COREY SANDERS PG Rutgers 21 3 78 95 85.3
114 ANGEL DELGADO C Seton Hall 23 1 86 86 86.0
115 THOMAS WILDER G Western Michigan 23 2 76 97 86.5
116 J.P. MACURA SG Xavier 23 4 53 99 86.8
117 JOCK LANDALE C Saint Mary’s 23 4 71 100 87.0
118 BRAIAN ANGOLA-RODAS G/F Florida St 24 1 87 87 87.0
119 ANAS MAHMOUD C Louisville 23 3 85 93 88.3
120 DREW EUBANKS C Oregon St 21 4 80 99 89.3
121 DARIUS THOMPSON 1 G Western Kentucky 23 1 90 90 90.0
122 MIKYLE MCINTOSH SF/PF Oregon 24 4 83 94 90.3
123 YUTA WATANABE SF Geo Washington 24 3 82 96 90.3
124 DESI RODRIGUEZ 1 SF Seton Hall 23 2 88 97 92.5
125 KELAN MARTIN F Butler 22 1 93 93 93.0
126 JAE’SEAN TATE F Ohio St 22 1 93 93 93.0
127 ROB GRAY G Houston 24 1 94 94 94.0
128 JOEL BERRY PG North Carolina 23 2 95 95 95.0
129 CHRIS WRAY F Mt. St. Mary’s 24 1 97 97 97.0
130 HERVE KABASELE KASONGA C Breogan 22 1 100 100 100.0
131 TERRY LARRIER F Connecticut 22 1 100 100 100.0
132 ALAN HERNDON 1 F Wyoming 23 0 0 0 N/A
132 GIDDY POTTS 1 G Middle Tennessee 22 0 0 0 N/A
132 JOE CHEALEY 1 G Charleston 22 0 0 0 N/A
132 JAIRUS LYLES 1 PG UMBC 22 0 0 0 N/A
132 NANA FOULLAND 1 C Bucknell 22 0 0 0 N/A
132 JACOBI BOYKINS 1 G/F Louisiana Tech 23 0 0 0 N/A
132 CAMERON REYNOLDS 1 F Tulane 23 0 0 0 N/A
132 KASSIUS ROBERTSON 1 G Missouri 24 0 0 0 N/A
132 ANDREW ROWSEY 1 G Marquette 24 0 0 0 N/A
132 JUSTIN TILLMAN 1 F VCU 22 0 0 0 N/A
132 HAYDEN DALTON 1 F Wyoming 22 0 0 0 N/A
132 ZACH LOFTON 1 G New Mexico State 26 0 0 0 N/A

A live thread will go up shortly, and we’ll track any major rumors, mocks, or changes in perception there throughout the day (these rankings won’t be updated).

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